While the Sixers’ avant-garde appointment and apprenticeship agents are acceptable absorbed in anticipation appraisal and abeyant barter scenarios avant-garde of the 2021 NBA Draft abutting Thursday, their authorization amateur Joel Embiid may already be aback in the gym alive on his game. Having afresh witnessed the butt of the NBA playoffs, there should accept been some frustrations (we should accept had the befalling to host the closing champs at the crib) and some achievement (look if their MVP applicant can do all that, maybe we aloof charge to add that Jrue Holiday and P.J. Tucker) that came from the NBA Finals. The Bucks, led by their superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo in abounding means provided a arrangement for franchises like the Sixers: if you accept a top 5 talent, and some patience, and the appropriate leadership, you’re activity to acquisition yourself in the blubbery of it aloof about every year.
And things adeptness aloof breach appropriate for you one of those years.
Per Basketball-Reference.com:
Joel Embiid had his best career division this year. At age 26 he accomplished a akin he’d never afore reached. With career highs of 28.5 points, steals (1.0), chargeless bandy allotment (85.9), chargeless bandy attempts (10.7, which led the NBA on a per bold basis) acreage ambition allotment (.513), three point allotment (37.7) and basically every avant-garde carbon from TS% (.636) to Win Share to VORP to BPM. Afore a brace of knee injuries bound him a bit, he had been arena like the best amateur in the world.
So what can Embiid possibly advance aloft afterwards arena like a alliance MVP on a per-game base this season?
If he abandoned had the exact aforementioned blazon of division afresh it would be a huge account for this franchise, so let’s accede that this is all a bit nit-picky. Anytime you allocution about a bank 1 amateur improving, you’re delving into actual captious waters. But the antagonism is angry and alike if the Sixers are bigger this advancing season, they won’t accept as bright of a aisle to the finals as they enjoyed this season. The antagonism will acceptable abandoned get stiffer. So if the Sixers are to win a appellation in the advancing years, it’s apparently because Embiid maintained his akin of play, while additionally authoritative a few enhancements.
Let’s attending at the four areas he adeptness advance aloft in adjustment to adeptness his abounding abeyant and advice the Sixers calibration that ambiguous summit.
It seems actual acceptable to me that the Sixers will attending to advancement their ball-handling bearings in some way for the advancing season. As gangbusters as their starting 5 was aback alive aftermost season, playoff basketball (and accurately aristocratic playoff basketball) is altered from the approved division grind. There were absolutely amateur this post-season breadth the Bucks, for archetype lived and died by Khris Middleton’s adeptness to account in the half-court; abnormally aback the Nets or Hawks did a acceptable job slowing bottomward Giannis’ rim assaults.
Now Ben Simmons is a amateur who may aloof acquisition his name in barter rumors anywhere from Draft day this advancing Thursday, through the end of his accepted contract. Who knows?
The Sixers are one of the “most advancing suitors” for Dame Lillard’s services.
And aloof today, there was a rumor that Wizards’ brilliant Bradley Aggravate adeptness appeal a trade, and if he did adeptness accommodate the Sixers on his “short list.”
Undoubtedly, if Daryl Morey pulled off a blockbuster like that, for a brilliant bouncer who lives in the pick-n-roll bold (like Lillard, and to a bottom amount beal) Embiid would charge to acclimate his halfcourt bold a bit.
Embiid has never been the greatest “roll man.” Our sample actuality isn’t absolutely robust. He’s never played with a acceptable pick-n-roll guard. The abutting he came was with Jimmy Butler in 2018-2019, and alike afresh he accomplished in the 42nd percentile with a 51.7 % EFG percent. He was far from advantageous during that series, and Butler isn’t abutting to the ballista (who’d command defenses aggravating to get over screens) Lillard is, but it’s never absolutely been a backbone of Embiid’s game. If he were to aback comedy with a Dame Lillard or a Bradley Beal, one would anticipate Embiid adeptness appetite to absorb a appropriate block of his summer fine-tuning his cycle (pun intended) in those situations.
If Ben Simmons is not breeding barter offers that the Sixers feel advance the team’s appellation chances, they additionally charge to adapt for the book breadth he is still on this aggregation by the season’s jump.
The latest address from Kyle Neubeck of The PhillyVoice suggests the aggregation may not be afflicted with accepted offers, and may not be in a blitz to accomplish a accord they feel is suboptimal. Per Neubeck:
“They are not advancing to the table at all if the action doesn’t reflect his cachet as an ultra-productive, multiple-time All-Star, and the aggregation believes internally they can fix at atomic some of his on-court issues in the accident that he charcoal a amount piece…
Internally, aggregation sources appearance a lot of the appear offers floated about the alliance as cellophane attempts to lower Simmons’ barter amount beneath breadth it absolutely is.”
If that’s the case, and Simmons is back, conceivably they still attending for addition brawl handlers to add to this core. Kyle Lowry has been a name the aggregation was affiliated to afore and afterwards the NBA barter deadline.
Holiday isn’t the greatest pull-up ballista in the NBA, but he was aloof acceptable abundant to alleviate some things Milwaukee had been defective in above-mentioned seasons:
The Sixers don’t charge Embiid to cycle like Giannis (and it shouldn’t be absurd to acquisition addition at atomic bigger than Seth Curry at active a P-n-R) but Embiid anticipating the aggregation accepting addition who adeptness run added awning bold with him would be prudent. If he could advance alike a little bit there, it adeptness addition their half-court breach by giving it addition dimension. By artlessly ambience a awning for a able shooter, and rolling into the acrylic he’ll absorb a lot of attention, alike if the Sixers don’t wind up with addition who can cilia the aggravate on the pass:
If Morey was asked “well what if you had Shaq and Lillard?” afresh his acknowledgment adeptness accept been altered than the one he gave reporters a year ago.
Nothing new here. Joel Embiid has been tasked with convalescent his casual and attached his turnovers appealing abundant every off-season aback 2018. He had his best abetment to about-face arrangement in 2019, but the eye analysis appropriate this was absolutely his best division as a playmaker.
Embiid had abundant added amplitude to assignment with acknowledgment to Daryl Morey accepting Danny Green and Seth Curry (than there was during the Josh Richardson and Al Horford days) which created added amplitude and accordingly easier reads.
Plus the breach was geared appear authoritative his reads out of accessories a bit simpler. From Head Coach Doc Rivers, per our Jackson Frank, aback in January:
“He’s a abundant player. All abundant players are gonna get trapped, whether they’re bigs or guards, and I’ve consistently anticipation it’s my job to accomplish sure, aback they get trapped, we’re in the appropriate spot,” Rivers said. “We accept this attitude: If you allurement us, we will score. That’s gotta be our attitude and you can feel our guys assertive that.”
Our Dan Olinger, autograph aback in April on the acceptable and bad of Joel Embiid’s passing:
“He’s not a bad passer or processor either, but that doesn’t beggarly that some adventurousness advance wouldn’t drag him to alike greater heights.”
And the improvements he fabricated connected into the aboriginal round, and conceivably alike into the aboriginal few amateur adjoin Atlanta in the Conference-Semis:
Part of how Embiid fabricated that important advance was about dupe his guys. Added from Jackson Frank on this theme:
“It’s artlessly about the alternating contest afterwards he chooses to abandon ascendancy that are igniting assurance in his teammates. The results, whether they’re occurring in convenance or games, are instilling newfound aplomb in his accommodation to embrace abrupt passing.”
And in January, I hosted Embiid’s adept trainer Drew Hanlen on the “No Particular Hurry” pod:
Per Hanlen, some admirable acumen on his megastar client’s bigger passing:
“Again, I anticipate that comes bottomward to assurance in his handle. He’s absolutely formed adamantine on convalescent his handle so he has ascendancy of the basketball. and that’s article that absolutely started aftermost year afore the bubble. Afore the bubble, Chris Babock and I had absolutely put an accent on casual out of bifold teams, we knew there be a lot of bifold teams and anytime aback afresh Joel spent a lot of time on it.
It additionally helps that the cadre has afflicted so that there’s added shooters about him and aback you apperceive guys are gonna accomplish shots you assurance them added to be able to accomplish the accessible canyon instead of aggravating to accomplish the ballsy canyon to a ballista that adeptness be a bigger ballista on the anemic side.
So I anticipate that cadre helped some, I anticipate that him alive adamantine on account breadth his teammates were aback bifold teams came, aloof compassionate breadth the coverages were affectionate of arch him to, and afresh additionally aloof him dupe his handle. Which I beggarly you’ve apparent him apparently added adequate than he’s anytime looked afore as far as a face up position in like what we alarm “delay-action” breadth he’s at the top of the key and accomplishing distill duke offs….”
But aback the aggregation fabricated it to annular two, (albeit with the baked-in alibi that Embiid was now arena with a crabbed breach in his meniscus), abundant of the improvements he fabricated to his casual and in attached his turnovers afflicted to some carelessness and mistakes he’s fabricated in the past. He had a amazing 21 turnovers in the final 3 games, two of which resulted in home losses. He had 16 in aloof the final two amateur of the alternation alone. He had 33 in the accomplished series.
Poor reads (do I canyon or attack, which canyon do I make) and simple carelessness, led to a assembly of abhorrent fouls, traveling violations, flailing attempts to draw fouls that went uncalled (and to be fair some should accept been) and casual turnovers, anguish up costing the Sixers dearly.
Reviewing the blur on how Atlanta pressured and abashed him and acclamation those issues should be a antecedence for Embiid afresh this season. He fabricated abundant strides in this breadth this season, but it didn’t construe to postseason hoops. That’s the abutting step.
It’s this old ambulatory cry, a cliche amid Sixers’ analysts, you’ve apparently heard Zach Lowe of ESPN run versions of this cilia for years now: if this dude can anytime get in appearance and break healthy, he can be one of the actual best players in the NBA, if not the best. And aloof like the aboriginal bisected of 2019, we saw it afresh for the aboriginal bisected of 2021. And this time, it appeared he was absolutely headed for the alliance MVP award.
Something, per ESPN’s Ramona Shelburne, he absolutely coveted:
“I appetite [Arthur, his son] to see me at my best, aloof like I saw my dad,” Embiid says. “I appetite him to see his dad as the best amateur in the world.”
And per Hanlen, from the aforementioned ESPN article:
“This division Joel capital a apple-pie ambit of MVPs,” Hanlen says. “He capital to win the regular-season MVP, he capital to win the All-Star MVP, and he capital to win the Finals MVP.”
“At that time he was the admired to win the MVP, and he capital to go and boss the All-Star Bold so he could prove that he was the best amateur in the world,” Hanlen says.”
Shelburne continues:
“That befalling got taken abroad from him. That, obviously, was out of his control. But article he could ascendancy in the additional bisected of the division was authoritative abiding everybody accomplished that he was the best amateur in the world.”
And afresh he forgot to abatement like a timberline on the night of March 12.”
The allotment additionally quotes the Head Coach:
“I didn’t accept a abundant activity appropriate away,” Rivers says. “I had an ACL [injury] once, and he fell the way I fell. He didn’t acreage normally, he landed on the aback of his heel….
“His avalanche are terrible,” Rivers says.
After one game, Rivers says, he heard from his daughter, Callie, who is affiliated to point bouncer Seth Curry. “[She] alleged me and said, ‘Joel scares the s— out of me every game.’”
In fact, abounding of the scariest moments of Embiid’s career assume to fit a bit of a pattern, accelerating into cartage in the paint, attractive for a affiche jam, or clue bottomward block, and as Rivers says, conceivably landing too adamantine with a ton of weight on one leg or a heel:
So Embiid gothalf of the blueprint this year, he handled his anatomy and got himself into the best appearance of his life, utilizing trainers, chefs, and more.
But he still didn’t break as advantageous as he would accept liked.
I asked Hanlen, aback in January:
“Have you formed with him at all on alienated alarming plays?”
I haven’t, no. I haven’t. To be honest with you, my focus aback I assignment with any of my audience is aloof aggravating to advance them and advice them advance their team’s affairs of acceptable games. I apperceive that there’s a acute component, that guys alpha acquirements how to abstain fouls, how to abstain injuries, etc. aback you’re out there on the court, instincts booty over and so I’m not acquainted of any appropriate affectionate of access that has afflicted in his mentality.”
My acknowledgment today would be that someone, if not Hanlen, alive with Embiid this off division to absolute alarming plays would actual abundant “improve the team’s affairs of acceptable games.”
Embiid had every acumen to appetite that MVP bays aftermost season. Had he won it, (feel chargeless to actuality analysis me) he could accept played out this accessible division and been acceptable for a 5 year Supermax contract, with a final year in the $50M range. As it played out, he’ll be acceptable this off division for a four-year Supermax, which one would brainstorm he’ll sign. (He’d accept to accomplish addition All-NBA aggregation in 2022 to become acceptable for a bristles year Supermax, bold the aggregation is agog to action one by abutting summer).
And it sounds like from alert to Shelburne, and Hanlen that those awards, and proving things during All-Star amateur and approved seasons amount to him a lot.
But I anticipate about Nikola Jokic this season, who ran abroad with the MVP, yet cipher would cartel to advance he had a added acknowledged year than Giannis with the playoffs now in our rear view. The aforementioned adeptness be said about LeBron James in 2020, or Kawhi Leanord in 2019, or KD in 2018. The dude who wins the Finals MVP, is about admired as the amateur of the year if not the accepted best amateur in the world.
Embiid may appetite to absolutely assay some of the scarier avalanche he’s suffered in his career, and his action for a
blaming ben, bold 4s, footfall on it.
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